Mt. Baker
WA · 5,089 ft summit · BLI
NWS Grade
2025–26 Season Snapshot
Storms This Season
229
storms tracked
Season Snowfall
415"
calibrated total
Best Storm
26/100
Major
Current Snowpack
34"
Wells Creek (existing)
Avg Daily Rate
1.0"/day
storms with data
Season SWE
15.2"
snow water equivalent
NWS Forecast Accuracy
NWS overpredicts by 72.05% at Mt. Baker
Our calibrated estimates are based on 10 verified storms. When NWS says 12 inches, reality is closer to 3 inches. Don't book flights based on NWS numbers alone.
Only 2 of 10 storms have verified measurements; 8 are missing SNOTEL data. Among verified storms, NWS overprediction is severe and systematic (66–77% error). No rain risk flag was present, and all forecasts called for snow, so rain-snow boundary effects cannot be evaluated. Recommendation: apply 0.28–0.33 multiplier to NWS forecasts; expect actual snowfall to be roughly one-quarter to one-third of issued guidance. High uncertainty in storms with snow level >400 ft and small magnitude forecasts due to data gaps.
Based on 10 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (Wells Creek (existing))
Storm History — 2025–26 Season
Apr 15 – Apr 16
NWS Forecast
1.1"
Calibrated
0.3"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Average
Rate: 0.3"/day
Apr 15 – Apr 16
NWS Forecast
1.3"
Calibrated
0.4"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Average
Rate: 0.4"/day
Apr 15 – Apr 16
NWS Forecast
1.5"
Calibrated
0.4"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Average
Rate: 0.4"/day
Show 226 more storms
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 16
Level 2 · 2" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 5" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 7" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 16
Level 3 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Apr 1 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 30 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 29 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 28 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 28 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 28 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 28 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 28 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 28 – Mar 30
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 26
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 26 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 2" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 3" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 3 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 25 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 4" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 5" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 24 – Mar 27
Level 2 · 6" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 22 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 22
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 21 – Mar 23
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 11 – Mar 14
Level 2 · 8" calibrated
Mar 10 – Mar 13
Level 3 · 11" calibrated
Local Knowledge
TGR Community IntelStorm Day Strategy
Mt Baker holds best through poor conditions compared to other Cascade resorts. During marginal conditions when most resorts have 1/3 acreage open, Baker typically performs better. Monitor 10-day forecasts for upcoming storm cycles; conditions often improve mid-February after winter lows.
Terrain Opening Patterns
Mt Baker
Opens: Passholders first, then general public
Opening may be delayed or limited by road access issues (Highway 410 damage mentioned)
Powder Stashes
Roman Wall
Upper mountain terrain
Backcountry terrain requiring crevasse awareness and route knowledge
Easton Glacier approach
Access via Heliotrope trailhead
Better accessed in spring; winter ascents possible but challenging with rime and sastrugi on walls
Full local intelligence for Mt. Baker
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Based on 19 community reports · 2021-01-02 → 2026-02-18
Road & Access
Mt. Baker Highway
UnknownSR-542 is not tracked by WSDOT mountain pass conditions.
Historical Patterns
Temperature effect: Average storm temperature ~23°F with no clear temperature-accuracy correlation in the limited sample. Both storms occurred near identical mean temps (22.5–23.8°F) yet showed similar overprediction ratios, suggesting temperature is not a primary differentiator at these cold levels.
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