Jackson Hole Mountain Resort
WY · 10,450 ft summit · JAC
NWS Grade
2025–26 Season Snapshot
Storms This Season
50
storms tracked
Season Snowfall
233"
calibrated total
Best Storm
70/100
Significant
Current Snowpack
46"
Phillips Bench
Avg Daily Rate
4.2"/day
storms with data
Season SWE
17.1"
snow water equivalent
NWS Forecast Accuracy
Good news — NWS underestimates snowfall here by 75%
Jackson Hole Mountain Resort typically receives 7.8× the NWS forecast amount. When NWS says 6 inches, you should expect closer to 47 inches. StormDrop calibrated estimates account for this.
Limited sample (4 verified storms) constrains confidence. Storms 5–7 have no verification data. Data suggests Jackson Hole receives substantially more snow than NWS operational forecasts predict, possibly due to local orographic enhancement, model resolution limitations, or systematic measurement/methodology differences between NWS forecast point and SNOTEL station elevation (station at 9,684 ft). SWE underprediction and snowfall overage both point to mischaracterization of snow density in forecast models.
Based on 7 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (Phillips Bench)
Storm History — 2025–26 Season
Apr 16 – Apr 18
NWS Forecast
1.8"
Calibrated
3.6"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Average
Rate: 2.1"/day
Apr 16 – Apr 18
NWS Forecast
1.7"
Calibrated
3.4"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 1.7"/day
Apr 15 – Apr 15
NWS Forecast
0.1"
Calibrated
0.2"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 0.2"/day
Show 47 more storms
Apr 14 – Apr 14
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 14
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 13 – Apr 13
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 13 – Apr 13
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 9" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 10" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 11" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 12" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 2 · 12" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 7" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 8" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 10" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 10" calibrated
Mar 31 – Mar 31
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 31 – Mar 31
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 16 – Mar 16
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 13 – Mar 13
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 12 – Mar 12
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Mar 11 – Mar 12
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Mar 10 – Mar 11
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Local Knowledge
TGR Community IntelStorm Day Strategy
Ski during active snowfall when others bail for lighter crowds. Tram has walk-on conditions in storms. Conditions variable but rewarding - first box runs provide excellent runs all the way to bottom traverse. Monitor wind direction and speed; sideways blowing snow possible. Expect 5-16 inches per storm event. Invest in quality outerwear and consider Skigee. Fresh snow holds for several days beyond ropes. Pay attention to freeze/thaw cycles for snow stability.
Terrain Opening Patterns
Jackson Hole Mountain Resort (General)
Opens: Variable - delayed openings possible
2026 season experienced delayed opening with warm December precip (rain in town), then locked up hard. Thin coverage low elevation, excellent high elevation.
Backcountry/OB terrain
Opens: Dependent on avalanche control cycles
Blower OB laps available in good cycles; backcountry accessible after control work
Powder Stashes
Blower OB terrain
Jackson Hole backcountry
Known for pow laps; requires avalanche control cycles to be complete
Backcountry/side-country terrain
Teton area surrounding resort
Worth shooting for if timing aligns with good weather windows
Full local intelligence for Jackson Hole Mountain Resort
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Based on 960 community reports · 2018-01-04 → 2026-03-17
Road & Access
No live DOT road data available for Jackson Hole Mountain Resort.
Historical Patterns
Temperature effect: Colder storms (avg temp 15–28°F with low snow levels <1100 ft) exhibit severe NWS underprediction (10–20× actual); warmer storms (avg temp 34–35°F) show better but still poor forecast skill. Temperature modulates both actual snowfall and forecast credibility.
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