Beaver Creek
CO · 11,440 ft summit · EGE
NWS Grade
2025–26 Season Snapshot
Storms This Season
41
storms tracked
Season Snowfall
85"
calibrated total
Best Storm
47/100
Tracked
Current Snowpack
0"
842:CO:SNTL
Avg Daily Rate
2.0"/day
storms with data
Season SWE
0.0"
snow water equivalent
NWS Forecast Accuracy
Good news — NWS underestimates snowfall here by -47.9%
Beaver Creek typically receives 3.3× the NWS forecast amount. When NWS says 6 inches, you should expect closer to 20 inches. StormDrop calibrated estimates account for this.
All three storms are identical in date, temperature, snow level, and wind speed, differing only in NWS forecast amount and density category. This unusual clustering suggests these may be ensemble members or model runs rather than independent events. With only one actual event represented, confidence in generalization is low. Wind speeds (20.7–28.8 mph) are moderate and show no clear correlation with forecast error. No rain risk noted in any forecast. Recommend acquiring more geographically and temporally diverse storm data before operationalizing correction rules.
Based on 3 verified storms · SNOTEL ground truth (842:CO:SNTL)
Storm History — 2025–26 Season
Apr 17 – Apr 18
NWS Forecast
1.7"
Calibrated
3.4"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 3.4"/day
Apr 17 – Apr 18
NWS Forecast
1.9"
Calibrated
3.7"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 2.7"/day
Apr 15 – Apr 15
NWS Forecast
0.1"
Calibrated
0.3"
Actual (SNOTEL)
Pending
Density: Dense
Rate: 0.3"/day
Show 38 more storms
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 15 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 14 – Apr 14
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 2" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 3" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 4" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 5" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 3 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 3
Level 1 · 6" calibrated
Apr 2 – Apr 2
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 0" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Mar 15 – Mar 15
Level 1 · 1" calibrated
Local Knowledge
TGR Community IntelStorm Day Strategy
Arrive very early before 8:30 opening on powder days as early access may be given. Expect crowds despite time constraints. Fresh snow can be heavy and grabby (6-16" snow can ski significantly shorter due to density). BOP and Grouse terrain tracks out fastest. Monitor I-70 status as road closures will limit access. Best powder skiing in first few hours after opening.
Terrain Opening Patterns
Upper Mountain (Grouse Mountain area)
Opens: 5:00 AM - 9:00 AM
Snow can accumulate 6+ inches between 5 AM report and 9 AM; Grouse skis well until early afternoon before getting tracked out
Rose Bowl
Opens: First chair
Conditions deteriorate quickly; rain possible below Spruce Saddle by late morning
Powder Stashes
Stone Creek
Upper mountain, accessible from main terrain
Often receives more snow than reported; reliable stash during storm cycles
Trees (inbounds)
Upper mountain terrain
Better visibility and conditions on firm base layer during storms
Full local intelligence for Beaver Creek
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Based on 44 community reports · 2018-01-26 → 2026-03-07
Road & Access
I-70 Corridor (Eisenhower Tunnel to Vail)
OpenHistorical Patterns
Temperature effect: All three storms occur on the same date (2026-03-15) with identical temperature ranges (6.1–25.2°F, avg 11.7°F). Insufficient variation to isolate temperature effect, but cold-marginal conditions (near 11°F) consistently yield underpredictions.
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